Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.883756 14.352153 15.936798 17.776775 19.857927 22.142817 24.846737
2025-08-03 10.578073 12.561548 14.860019 17.731726 21.239342 25.404169 30.753304
2025-08-10 8.847336 11.091942 13.856234 17.536691 22.347013 28.473155 36.949942
2025-08-17 7.526276 9.888785 12.956502 17.276507 23.274687 31.413992 43.475455
2025-08-24 6.539796 8.954246 12.239661 17.104182 24.238314 34.498489 50.703160
2025-08-31 5.795685 8.232710 11.691044 17.049739 25.312609 37.853702 58.882222
2025-09-07 5.316593 7.814134 11.499736 17.460097 27.098984 42.505050 69.885573
2025-09-14 4.788518 7.250685 11.010900 17.326427 27.983305 45.829621 79.277514
2025-09-21 4.294029 6.676626 10.428662 16.949014 28.384832 48.372026 87.722973
2025-09-28 3.920501 6.249398 10.024367 16.800241 29.131220 51.589688 97.978623
2025-10-05 3.734572 6.105416 10.063283 17.407428 31.293140 57.694680 115.058059
2025-10-12 3.557845 5.955560 10.070458 17.949440 33.398132 64.009441 133.865453
2025-10-19 3.342688 5.723530 9.919525 18.201640 35.026951 69.746846 152.937795
2025-10-26 3.084986 5.390500 9.551959 17.994732 35.709221 73.650914 168.764235
2025-11-02 2.844592 5.065636 9.165482 17.701743 36.169990 77.160481 184.500053
2025-11-09 2.627255 4.762995 8.789771 17.383042 36.527599 80.501523 200.640850
2025-11-16 2.445508 4.510989 8.486296 17.176437 37.102533 84.451097 219.403272
2025-11-23 2.295954 4.307554 8.258181 17.101932 37.968094 89.259647 241.822376
2025-11-30 2.207335 4.216228 8.246983 17.501473 40.016235 97.423331 276.306155
2025-12-07 2.075263 4.025119 8.009846 17.360159 40.719373 102.209565 301.815455
2025-12-14 1.933818 3.802680 7.685443 16.977648 40.757634 105.206448 322.452126
2025-12-21 1.824393 3.637938 7.469620 16.826045 41.370352 109.924577 350.264586
2025-12-28 1.783349 3.614906 7.562011 17.432684 44.099894 121.319755 405.202232